Is the standoff between China and India going to escalate soon? Probably!

  chushul sector, india china border dispute, india china border standoff, ladakh chushul sector, indian express

The maps above show where it might occur. The pictures below show what the terrain is like in that area.

 

An Indian fighter jet flies over Leh in Ladakh on Friday. Photo: AFP  india china ties, Line of Actual Control, galwan valley, Eastern Ladakh, PLA, Integrated Battle Groups, china , Pakistan

Can you imagine somewhere worse to have a war? Yet, there is a long history of these two nations skirmishing over this inhospitable land. And it looks like it will happen again and soon.

Think of it – 10,000 – 14,000 foot heights – – oxygen depravation. Snow in some places 365 days a year — cold. Terrain that a mountain goat would have trouble with. Little, if any, cover to fight from. These are not places you just drop troops and equipment in and go to war – unless, of course, you want everyone on both sides to die.

And yet it is probably going to happen and soon.

I first ran across news about this area in a Russian article back in May – hadn’t heard anything else from the area because of the “News” fixation on Covid.

India Rushes Additional Troops to Galwan Valley after China Claims it as its Territory – Sputnik International – posted 05/19/20

From that point on, more and more news about troop and equipments buildups was all over the non-American press util June 15 –

3 Indian Soldiers Killed in First Deadly Clash on Chinese Border in Decades – The New York Timesposted 06/16/20

‘At least 20’ Indian soldiers killed in border clash with Chinese troops, media reports say | South China Morning Post – posted 06/16/20

Since then it has been a continual buildup of troops and equipment in the area, infrastructure being built up throughout the area and bordering countries – i.e. Pakistan,, Nepal, Tibet and others – putting their 2 cents in.

Can you say that they are getting everything and everybody acclimated to the environment? May to September – yeah, they’re acclimated and “campaign season” as the “Deccan Chronicle” puts it is September – November is the “ideal for a war”.

Tensions soar as India thwarts China’s intimidatory move – Deccan Chronicleposted 09/09/20 (date line)

From the article:

“The September-November period is crucial as some call it the “campaign season” when climate is ideal for a war before snowfall blocks many of the crucial passes in Ladakh.

The Chinese army has been taken aback by India’s pre-emptive move to occupy some two dozen strategic heights on the southern banks of Pangong Tso on the intervening night of 29-30 August 2020 to dominate the area and keep a watch on a Chinese garrison below.

According to sources, Chinese troops on Monday (September 7th) night armed with primitive weapons, which looked like their traditional Guandao weapon (a single-edge blade on the end of a pole), and guns attempted to dislodge Indian troops from the heights of Mukhpari which is one of the highest peaks in the Chushul sector.”

https://www.deccanchronicle.com/nation/current-affairs/080920/tensions-soar-as-india-thwarts-chinas-intimidatory-move.html

Still, the environment is going to have telling effects on everything – espicially equipment. In some ways, at times, it will get downright primitive.  If your assault rifle doesn’t work because of the cold and you are told to attack what are you going to do but go “old School”. The “Guandao” weapon – an ancient Chinese weapon – mentioned above is better explained in this article from the “India News”.

China border dispute: Chinese PLA troops were armed with Guandao blades at Pangong – Know all about this deadly medieval weapon | India News posted 09/09/20

https://www.timesnownews.com/india/article/chinese-pla-troops-were-armed-with-guandao-blades-at-pangong-know-all-about-this-deadly-medieval-weapon/649930

“The Guandao – and what makes it so deadly

The Guandao is a Chinese pole weapon used in certain forms of Chinese martial arts. In Mandarin, it is known as Yanyuedao or reclining moon blade.

Legend has it that this iconic weapon was named after the Chinese general Guan Yu, who lived some 2,000 years ago.

However, the first documented use of the weapon dates back to the 11th century.

Guandaos come in many shapes and sizes. In the classical form, the trademark wide blade sweeps backward, and the backedge leads to the spike. In earlier times, an ornament decorated with a mythical figure would be attached to the spike hole.

For centuries, the Guandao was used to deadly effect on foot as well as horseback in China’s long history of warfare between kingdoms. Because of its massive blade and the strength of handle grip, it could cut through leather and armour.

Using it required elaborated practice, with the blade mounted on a long metal or wooden pole. It was used to attack the opponent with a sweeping motion.

Primarily a weapon of attack, it was also used to block and deflect using the rear handle and back of the blade.

There has been a renewed interest in medieval and ancient Chinese weapons, and stylishly ornamented Guandaos are available online.

But it’s quite possible that the type of Guandao used by the PLA is closer to the Pudao (‘attack blade’), which weighs less than a third of a medieval Guandao and is less effective. However, because of its light weight, the Pudao has scope for a greater range of movements.

Nevertheless, irrespective of whether the PLA troops are armed with a Guandao or a Pudao, India’s battle-hardened mountain warriors are more than prepared for whatever the Chinese throw at them in the heights of eastern Ladakh.”

Pudao  118892487_196174381924889_2979663673002747560_o

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And the Chinese troops seen in these pictures seem to be  carrying them.

I am sure that the Indian troops in the area also have “old school’ weapons so it’s going to be bloody if a war does occur. High casuality rates – both dead and severly wounded – and medical care isgoing to be rough.

Here’s the scoop – short time span, which is now, for warfare before winter sets in and it becomes impossible. Troops, equipment and infrastructure in place and acclimated to the environment. Politics on both sides have reached a point where neither side will back down. All that is needed is the match.

Hopefully it will cool down, but probably not likely.

For more information check out my page at : Doc’s Study of War – China/India

 

Defense Security Asia Twitter Post

Sometimes the original tells the story better than anyone else.

— DEFENCE SECURITY ASIA – Twitter post

China tidak pernah mengeluarkan sebarang kenyataan tentang kematian anggota tenteranya akibat pergaduhan dengan tentera India di Galwan Valley kira-kira dua bulan lepas.

Dipihak India, mereka mengaku 20 anggota tenteranya terbunuh dalam pergaduhan menggunakan kayu berpaku, batu dan senjata primitif yang lain.

Bagaimanapun dalam gambar yang disiarkan baru-baru ini, kita dapat tahu bahawa bilangan askar China yang terbunuh dalam pergaduhan itu adalah ramai.

Boleh kira berapa banyak kubur tentera China tu….

Mungkin melebihi bilangan kematian dipihak India.

Kenapa China ingin menyembunyikan bilangan kematian anggota tenteranya?

Mungkin dia malu terhadap rakyatnya sendiri dan negara luar kerana sebagai negara kuasa besar, China tidak sepatutnya kalah dalam apa juga pertelingkahan.

Tiada anggota tentera China sepatutnya mati, mereka ini immortal dan dibayangkan sebagai super human… Podah la.

Kematian anggota tentera China di Galwan Valley itu mungkin dianggap amat memalukan bagi Beijing…

Malang sungguh sesiapa yang jadi askar PLA.

— DEFENCE SECURITY ASIA – Computer translation

China has never released any statement on the death of its army members due to a fight with Indian military in Galwan Valley about two months ago.

In India, they claimed 20 members of his army were killed in fights using nailed wood, rocks and other primitive weapons.

However in the pictures posted recently, we find out that the number of Chinese soldiers killed in the fight were crowded.

Can count how many Chinese military graves are….

Probably beyond the number of deaths in India.

Why does China want to hide the death number of its army members?

Maybe he is ashamed of his own people and foreign countries because as a great power country, China should not lose any fight.

No Chinese military members should die, they are immortal and imagined as super human… Podah la.

The death of Chinese military members in the Galwan Valley may be considered a very embarrassing to Beijing…

It’s such a bad thing as a PLA soldier.

— DEFENCE SECURITY ASIA

https://www.facebook.com/103558231186505/posts/194527185422942/?sfnsn=mo&extid=fH2BVTOh3aGAbs2Z

Belarus Troops Entering Minsk

It looks like the situation in Belarus may be coming to a head within the 24-72 hours. Belarus troops, with Russian support already in country, are moving into position to be able to crack down on the ongoing protest.

Belarus’ troops enter Minsk amid protests – Defense Blogposted 08/30/20

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Belarus’ Soldiers and infantry fighting vehicles entered Minsk amid protests, according to Thomas van Linge.

From the Article

“Thomas van Linge, an Amsterdam based political science student, reported that armoured personnel carriers had entered the Belarusian capital, just when thousands are once again out to protest.

There are numerous reports that large military convoys with BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles and unmarked BTR-70 armored personnel carriers are heading to the Minsk city center. Numerous witnesses have released a video of military vehicles on the streets of Minsk.”

https://defence-blog.com/news/army/belarus-troops-enter-minsk-amid-protests.html

From Yesterday: 

UAWire – Russia sends paratroopers to Belarus for military exercises – posted 08/28/20

Russian paratroopers from the Moscow Airborne Guards Unit are in Belarus, Interfax reports, citing the press service of the Russian Defense Ministry.
http://www.uawire.org/russia-sends-paratroopers-to-belarus-for-military-exercises

The Interfax report – computer translated from Russian

Российские десантники приняли участие в учениях под Брестом

Russian paratroopers took part in exercises near Brest – posted 08/27/20

https://www.interfax.ru/russia/723491

Go to the supplied links to view the articles

My page for background and other information:

Doc’s Study of War – Belarus

The Threat Posed by the Chinese Government and the Chinese Communist Party to the Economic and National Security of the United States — FBI

high

FBI Director Christopher Wray discusses the threat China poses to U.S. economic and national security during a July 7, 2020 video event at the Hudson Institute in Washington, D.C.
https://www.fbi.gov/news/speeches/the-threat-posed-by-the-chinese-government-and-the-chinese-communist-party-to-the-economic-and-national-security-of-the-united-states

“The Chinese Regime and the Scope of Its Ambitions

To understand this threat and how we must act to respond to it, the American people should remember three things.

First: We need to be clear-eyed about the scope of the Chinese government’s ambition. China—the Chinese Communist Party—believes it is in a generational fight to surpass our country in economic and technological leadership.

That is sobering enough. But it’s waging this fight not through legitimate innovation, not through fair and lawful competition, and not by giving their citizens the freedom of thought and speech and creativity that we treasure here in the United States. Instead, China is engaged in a whole-of-state effort to become the world’s only superpower by any means necessary.”

From the article  (Highlites are mine)

I’ve been talking about China and its ambitions for some time now and this warning from the FBI Director is coming at a time that I’ve been waiting for bullets to start flying. There are just too many theaters of operations in which China is poised to start something and I’ve been surprised that it hasn’t already happened. Everyday something new crosses the wires and soon we will be at the Point of No Return.

And other seems to think likewise – 

Pompeo: Chinese threat may be worse than Cold War communism

During Prague visit, US secretary of state urges Czechs to stand up to Beijing like they did to Soviets.   By 

U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo during a press conference on August 12, 2020 in Prague | Gabriel Kuchta/Getty Images
https://www.politico.eu/article/us-secretary-of-state-mike-pompeo-chinese-threat-may-be-worse-than-cold-war-communism/

My thought -Watch the China/India area. It might start there because Winter is almost there, but mainly it will be a distraction to draw attention AWAY from the South China Sea, Taiwan and Japan.

For more Info check out my pages:

Doc’s Study of War – China

Doc’s Study of War – Eastern and South China Sea

Doc’s Study of War – China/India

Doc’s Study of War – China’s “Belts and Roads Initiative”

Belts and Roads or How To Take Over The World Without Firing A Shot!

one belt one road land sea routes  Map 1

What is China’s “Belt and Road Initiative”?

“In 2013, President Xi Jinping proposed that China would create a “Silk Road Economic Belt” across Central Asia and Europe and a “21st Century Maritime Silk Road” running through the South China Sea and the Indian Ocean, on to the Middle East and Europe — programs meant to revive ancient trade routes and reinforce existing ones. Beijing quickly wove these two visions together and dubbed them the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).” (1)

Explainer | Belt and Road Initiative debt: how big is it and what’s next? – South China Morning Postpublished  19 July 2020

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3093218/belt-and-road-initiative-debt-how-big-it-and-whats-next

How Does China Do It?

“BRI projects are built using low-interest loans as opposed to aid grants. Some BRI investments have involved opaque bidding processes and required the use of Chinese firms.” (2)

and

“BRI partnerships typically come in the form of joint memoranda of understanding to support future projects. But these contracts are typically shrouded in secrecy, so it’s hard to understand how they work.” (3)

and “Flashy Salesmanship”

Silk Road Briefing is produced by Dezan Shira & AssociatesChris Devonshire-Ellis is the practice Chairman. The firm has 26 years of China operations with offices throughout China, Asia and Europe. Please refer to our Belt & Road desk or visit our website at www.dezshira.com for further information.

More on this later.

What is the history on which this “Initiative” is based on?

“What was the original Silk Road?

The original Silk Road arose during the westward expansion of China’s Han Dynasty (206 BCE–220 CE), which forged trade networks throughout what are today the Central Asian countries of Afghanistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, as well as modern-day India and Pakistan to the south. Those routes extended more than four thousand miles to Europe.

Central Asia was thus the epicenter of one of the first waves of globalization, connecting eastern and western markets, spurring immense wealth, and intermixing cultural and religious traditions. Valuable Chinese silk, spices, jade, and other goods moved west while China received gold and other precious metals, ivory, and glass products. Use of the route peaked during the first millennium, under the leadership of first the Roman and then Byzantine Empires, and the Tang Dynasty (618–907 CE) in China.

But the Crusades, as well as advances by the Mongols in Central Asia, dampened trade, and today Central Asian countries are economically isolated from each other, with intra-regional trade making up just 6.2 percent of all cross-border commerce. They are also heavily dependent on Russia, particularly for remittances—they make up one-third of the gross domestic product (GDP) of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan. By 2018, remittances had dipped from their 2013 highs due to Russia’s economic woes.” (2)

There is also a “Oceania” component to the “Belt and Road Initiative” known as “Maritime Silk Road”

“Xi subsequently announced plans for the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road at the 2013 summit of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) in Indonesia. To accommodate expanding maritime trade traffic, China would invest in port development along the Indian Ocean, from Southeast Asia all the way to East Africa and parts of Europe.” (2)

Corridors  Map 2

As can be seen in the above map, the Eastern and South China Seas AND the Artic and it’s Sea Routes are part of the “Maritime Silk Road”

The Eastern and South China Seas

The issues with China and the Eastern and South China Seas are well know and documented. For more info, my page at Eastern and South China Sea is loaded with articles and information. Just this month, the problems in the Eastern and South China Seas have come to a head.

“The world will not allow Beijing to treat the South China Sea as its maritime empire,” Pompeo said. “America stands with our Southeast Asian allies and partners in protecting their sovereign rights to offshore resources, consistent with their rights and obligations under international law. We stand with the international community in defense of freedom of the seas and respect for sovereignty and reject any push to impose ‘might makes right’ in the South China Sea or the wider region.” (4)

And Australia is taking action:

“Australia has declared “there is no legal basis” to China’s territorial and maritime claims in the South China Sea, marking an escalation of recent tensions with Beijing and bringing Canberra further in line with Washington.” (5)

The Artic

Now you might ask “Why the Artic”? Well –

Arctic likely to be ice-free by 2050 despite climate efforts, new study says – Bellona.org – posted 05/07/20

https://bellona.org/news/arctic/2020-05-arctic-likely-to-be-ice-free-by-2050-despite-climate-efforts-new-study-says

And that means that a wealth of oil, natural resources and rare earth minerals will be up for the taking.

“China’s ambitions have even reached the Arctic, with plans to build a “Polar Silk Road” with infrastructure projects and shipping routes between the Arctic and Asia.” (3)

Xue Long icebreaker China

Xue Long, China’s icebreaking research vessel, in the Arctic Ocean. Wikimedia Commons

China’s Belt and Road Enters the Arctic –  The Arctic states could find much-needed funding for infrastructure improvements through China’s Belt and Road. By Heidar Gudjonsson and Egill Thor Nielsson – The Diplomat published March 31, 2017

https://thediplomat.com/2017/03/chinas-belt-and-road-enters-the-arctic/

See the source image  Map 3

China’s Belt and Road: Where Does the Arctic Angle Stand? By Heidar Gudjonsson and Egill Thor Nielsson – The DiplomatPublished September 22, 2017

https://thediplomat.com/2017/09/chinas-belt-and-road-where-does-the-arctic-angle-stand/

A Cold Arena? Greenland as a Focus of Arctic Competition – Recent questions over the extent of China’s ambitions for Greenland deserve close scrutiny. By Mingming Shi and Marc Lanteigne – The DiplomatPublished  June 10, 2019

https://thediplomat.com/2019/06/a-cold-arena-greenland-as-a-focus-of-arctic-competition/

US awakens to risk of China-Russia alliance in the Arctic – Nikkei Asian Reviewposted 05/24/20

https://www.bing.com/search?q=US+awakens+to+risk+of+China-Russia+alliance+in+the+Arctic+&form=ANSPH1&refig=edd6e8b714684471a6bff7152484dff9&pc=U531&sp=-1&pq=us+awakens+to+risk+of+china-russia+alliance+in+the+arctic+&sc=0-58&qs=n&sk=&cvid=edd6e8b714684471a6bff7152484dff9

My page for more information on the Artic is at” Watch The Artic

Where else is the “Belt and Road Initative”Occurring?

Can you say everywhere? Through Chinese Government agents and the “Flashy Salesmanship” mentioned above it is everywhere.

Africa

China’s Belt and Road Makes Inroads in Africa – In Senegal, Rwanda, and Mauritius, China pursues Belt and Road agreements — with mixed success. – By Shannon Tiezzi   – The Diplomat –   July 31, 2018

https://thediplomat.com/2018/07/chinas-belt-and-road-makes-inroads-in-africa/
China’s African Moves Through The Belt & Road, Double Tax Treaties & AfCFTA – Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis Silk Road Briefing –  May 28, 2019

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2019/05/28/chinas-african-moves-belt-road-double-tax-treaties-afcfta/

    

UNDERSTANDING CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS IN AFRICA   By DAVID DOLLAR  – BrookingsSEPTEMBER 2019

https://www.brookings.edu/research/understanding-chinas-belt-and-road-infrastructure-projects-in-africa/

The Caribbean & West Indies

China’s Belt & Road – The Caribbean & West Indies – Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis Silk Road Briefing   

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2019/05/24/chinas-belt-road-caribbean-west-indies/

Latin America

China invites Latin America to take part in One Belt, One Road – Reuters – JANUARY 22, 2018 / 12:07 PM / 3 YEARS AGO

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-chile-china-idUSKBN1FB2CN

The Belt, the Road, and Latin America  by June Teufel Dreyer – Foreign Policy Research InstitutePublished January 16, 2019 

https://www.fpri.org/article/2019/01/the-belt-the-road-and-latin-america/#:~:text=China%E2%80%99s%20One%20Belt%20One%20Road%20%28OBOR%29%20project%20was,comprehensive%20cooperative%20partnership%20and%20open%20up%20new%20prospects.%E2%80%9D.

Belt and Road in Latin America: A Regional Game Changer? Four Issues to Watch – by PEPE ZHANGAtlantic CouncilOCTOBER 2019 

https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Belt-and-Road-in-Latin-America-Four-Issues-to-Watch.pdf

Belt and Road Initiative to Boost Chinese Lending in LatAm – by DANIELA GUZMAN AND Aaron WeinmanUS News and World Report – Jan. 28, 2020

https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2020-01-28/belt-and-road-initiative-to-boost-chinese-lending-in-latam

Mexico & Central America

The Belt & Road Initiative In Mexico & Central America – Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis – Silk Road Briefing –  May 27, 2019

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2019/05/27/belt-road-initiative-mexico-central-america/

Middle East

China’s Belt & Road Initiative In The Middle East – Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis –Silk Road Briefing – Jun 21, 2019

China’s Belt & Road Initiative And South America – Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis – Silk Road Briefing –  Mar 24, 2020

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2019/05/29/chinas-belt-road-initiative-south-america/

   

There even more areas covered by Silk Road Briefing and the articles continue to this day telling the world how wonderful the Belt and Road Initiative is.

China’s Belt & Road Initiative Changes Focus As Smaller Investments With Minority Equity Stakes Take Preference –  Op/Ed by Chris Devonshire-Ellis –Silk Road Briefin –  Jul 28, 2020

https://www.silkroadbriefing.com/news/2020/07/28/chinas-belt-road-initiative-changes-focus-smaller-investments-minority-equity-stakes-take-preference/

What ever they are being paid they are earning it.

This first part is just about what China’s Belt and Road Initiative is and where it is showing up in the World – basically everywhere.

Now think about it – China is giving Countries (many of them 3rd  World or unstable) loans for heavy infrastructure work. Hidden and secret M.O.U.’s are being used in all cases. What is in those contracts,etc for China and why are they kept secret?

Part 2 will talk about that side of the equation.

(1)  UNDERSTANDING CHINA’S BELT AND ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS IN AFRICA by David Dollar  – Brookings – published September 2019   

https://www.brookings.edu/research/understanding-chinas-belt-and-road-infrastructure-projects-in-africa/

(2) China’s Massive Belt and Road Initiative – by Andrew Chatzky and James McBride –  Council on Foreign Relations                                                 Last updated January 28, 2020

https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/chinas-massive-belt-and-road-initiative

(3)  The US is scrambling to invest more in Asia to counter China’s ‘Belt and Road’ mega-project. Here’s what China’s plan to connect the world through infrastructure is like. By   – Business Insider posted Nov 11, 2019

Hostilities Between Armenia & Azerbaijan Break Out – Won’t Hear This On The Nightly News!

2000px-AZ-qa-location-en.svg

Conflict begun on Sunday, July 12th and continues.

Could possibly lead into a Proxy War between Russia (Armenia) and Turkey (Azerbaijan).

Conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh as Armenia & Azerbaijan exchange fire – EU Todayposted 07/14/20

“The two neighbours in the South Caucasus have been locked in a frozen conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh, a region of Azerbaijan that has been under the control of ethnic Armenian forces backed by Armenia since a war there ended in 1994. International efforts to settle the conflict have stalled”

https://eutoday.net/news/security-defence/2020/nagorno-karabakh

Armenia-Azerbaijan Conflict Escalates With Intense Border Confrontation – Jamestownposted 07/14/20

“Multiple states and international organizations have called on the two warring sides to exercise restraint and observe the ceasefire regime established in 1994 with Russia’s mediation. In its statement, the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed “serious” concern about the recent developments and underscored the “the inadmissibility of a further escalation of the conflict, which poses a threat to the security of the region” (Mfa.ru, July 13).

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Turkey and many high-ranking officials in Ankara declared strong support to Azerbaijan and condemned Armenia’s aggression. In particular, the foreign ministry statement pointed out that “Armenia’s recent attacks sought to draw the attention of the international community to other places than the illegally occupied Nagorno-Karabakh and surrounding regions [in order] to add new dimensions to the conflict” (Anadolu Agency, July 14).”

https://jamestown.org/program/armenia-azerbaijan-conflict-escalates-with-intense-border-confrontation/

Tensions on the border between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Both sides report losses – TASSposted 07/14/20

(Computer translated)

“The conflict between Azerbaijan and Armenia over Nagorno-Karabakh began in February 1988, when the Nagorno-Karabakh Autonomous Region announced its withdrawal from the Azerbaijani SSR. During the 1992-1994 armed conflict, Azerbaijan lost control of Nagorno-Karabakh and seven surrounding areas. Since 1992, negotiations have been underway on a peaceful settlement of the conflict within the framework of the OSCE Minsk Group, led by the co-chairs – Russia, the United States and France.”

https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/8962841

UAWire Fighting continues on Armenia-Azerbaijan borderposted 07/15/20

“Fighting continued at night 300 kilometers from Nagorno-Karabakh, a mountainous enclave inhabited mainly by Armenians, which Azerbaijan lost control of during the bloody war of 1992-94.

Armenia’s ambassador to Moscow, Vardan Toganyan, said Yerevan was counting on Russia’s help in resolving the conflict, as the situation on the border was developing “not in a very good way.”

http://uawire.org/fighting-continues-on-armenia-azerbaijan-border

The Study Of War – Is It Coming?

Is It Almost Showtime With China?

In my many years of life I’m seeing a worldwide situation that must be very similiar to that facing the World from 1933 to 1941. There is just to much going on in the World right now and all that is needed is the lit match to cause the spark. We might have just witnessed that match being lit –

 Pakistan: Several dead after gunmen attack stock exchange | News | DW | 29.06.2020

dwpakistan

  (DW is Dutasche Welle)

From the Article

“Additionally, the Majid Brigade of the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA) took responsibility for the attack. The BLA is an armed insurgent group advocates for the independence of Balochistan province from Pakistan.

“The Balochistan Liberation Army is being funded by India,” defense analyst Amjad Shoaib told DW. “Baloch insurgents are being supported and trained by Indian intelligence agencies. The Pakistani government expected that such an attack could be perpetrated. Authorities are now taking an action against those involved in it.” The claim of responsibility has yet to be confirmed.”

Why is this important to China? As the South China Morning Post of June 27, 2020 points out:

For China, there are big economic interests at stake.

Pakistan-administered Kashmir is the site of key elements of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC), a series of infrastructure projects in Pakistan funded by Chinese bank loans. Chinese Premier Li Keqiang has called the CPEC a “flagship project” of China’s broader Belt and Road Initiative

India has been vocal about its opposition to the CPEC, with Modi using bilateral meetings at forums like the G20 and official state visits to China to tell Xi that the CPEC’s inclusion of Kashmir is a threat to India’s national sovereignty.

Rakisits said that protecting CPEC was a top priority for China.

“In the long term, China’s upper hand militarily in the Ladakh region will make it easier for it to protect its CPEC assets in Pakistan-administered Kashmir if India ever decides to make a military incursion into that area,” he said.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3090758/why-pakistan-big-factor-chinas-border-clashes-india

For more information on China’s Belt and Road Initiative see my post of sdeveral days ago: Is It 1941 Again? China Instead of Japan?

I saw nothing in the American Media concerning China/India but on May 19th I saw this article on a Russian site: India Rushes Additional Troops to Galwan Valley after China Claims it as its Territory – Sputnik International . Since then it has blown way up cumulating with: ‘At least 20’ Indian soldiers killed in border clash with Chinese troops, media reports say | South China Morning Post on June 16th. Since then, both China and India have been rushing troops and equipment to the area. Also, some of China’s Allies in the area have been stepping up the pressure on India.

China Orders Prayer Flags Taken Down in Tibet in an Assault on Culture, Faith – Radio Free Asiaposted 06/17/20

New map row: Nepal says no offer of talks from India, deploys its troop at Indo-Nepal border | News – Times of India Videosposted 06/19/20

Amid stand-off with China, India faces new low in bilateral ties with Nepal | South China Morning Postposted 06/20/20

nepal-2

Nepal stations bombard Uttarakhand villages with anti-India songs | India News – Times of Indiaposted 06/21/20

And now Pakistan. As the South China Morning Post puts it in the above article:

“But observers say that this time the main driver of the conflict was not the line dividing the two players but wider strategic interests involving a third country – China’s “iron brother” Pakistan.”

And today Pakistan’s has been attacked by a terrorist groups with supposed ties to India.

Has the Match been Lit?

My pages of interest on the subject:

China/India

Eastern and South China Sea

The Study Of War – Is It Coming?